Theoretical and Natural Science

- The Open Access Proceedings Series for Conferences


Theoretical and Natural Science

Vol. 2, 20 February 2023


Open Access | Article

Predict FTSE100 Stock Movements Using Business News Sentiment and Machine Learning

Congjun Jin * 1 , Rongzheng Liu 2 , Bangfeng Tang 3 , Bokun Cai 4
1 The School of Environmental and Civil Engineering, University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia
2 University of St Andrews, Scotland
3 Perth College, University of the Highland and Islands, Scotland
4 Limai Chinese American (International) School, Beijing, China

* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Advances in Humanities Research, Vol. 2, 50-55
Published 20 February 2023. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by EWA Publishing
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Citation Congjun Jin, Rongzheng Liu, Bangfeng Tang, Bokun Cai. Predict FTSE100 Stock Movements Using Business News Sentiment and Machine Learning. TNS (2023) Vol. 2: 50-55. DOI: 10.54254/2753-8818/2/20220148.

Abstract

In order for investors to maximize their benefit by having better forecasts of the complex dynamics of the stock market, there are many factors that affect the stock market, from a company's financial ratios to investor sentiment and reactions to financial news. This project aims to collect UK business news from the Guardian and uses NLP techniques to transform unstructured text data into usable structured sentiment data to predict the movement of the FTSE100 index. The program uses two different libraries TEXTBLOB and VADER to extract sentiments from both the headlines and main bodies of the business news articles. Four machine learning algorithms including Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, K-Nearest Neighbours and Support Vector Machines and a voting classifier were used to predict FTSE100 index movement given the business news sentiments of the previous day.

Keywords

sentiment analysis, NLP, Stock price prediction

References

1. S. Barsa, "Classification of Hot News for Financial Forecast Using NLP Techniques," International Conference on Big Data, New Delhi, 2018.

2. S. Mehtab and J. Sen, "A Robust Predictive Model for Stock Price Prediction Using Deep Learning and Natural Language Processing," School of Computing and Analytics, Kolkata, 2019.

3. S. Mohan, S. Mullapudi, S. Sammeta, P. Vijayvergia and D. C. Anastasiu, "Stock Price Prediction Using News Sentiment Analysis," 2019 Fifth International Conference on Big Data Computing Service and Applications, New Delhi, 2019.

4. R. Akita, A. Yoshihara, T. Matsubara and K. Uehara, "Deep Learning for Stock Prediction Using Numerical and Textual Information," Kobe University, Seoul, 2019.

5. S. Kumar and S. Acharya, "Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Stock Market Prediction: A Comparative Analysis," Indian Institute of Management, Indore, 2020.

6. I. Chatterjee, J. Gwan, Y. J. Kim, M. S. Lee and M. Cho, "An NLP and LSTM BasedStock Prediction and Recommender System for KOSDAQ and KOSPI," Intelligent Human Computer Interaction, 2021.

7. D. Shah, I. Haruma and F. Zulkernine, "Predicting the Effects of News Sentiments on the Stock Market," School of Computing, Queens University, Kingston, 2019.

8. x. Li, H. Xie, L. Chen, J. Wang and X. Deng, "News impact on stock price return via sentiment analysis," City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, 2014.

9. X. Wan, J. Yang, S. Marinov, J. P. Calliess, S. Zohren and X. Dong, "Sentiment correlation in financial news networks and associated market movements," Nature Portfolio, 2021.

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11. M. G. Sousa, K. Sakiyama, L. S. Rodrigues, P. H. Moraes, E. R. Fernandes and E. T. Matsubara, "BERT for Stock Market Sentiment Analysis," International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence, New Delhi, 2019.

12. Y. Kim, S. R. Jeong and I. Ghani, "Text Opinion Mining to Analyze News for Stock Market Prediction," Kookmin University, Seoul, 2014.

Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study will be available from the authors upon reasonable request.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the International Conference on Computing Innovation and Applied Physics (CONF-CIAP 2022)
ISBN (Print)
978-1-915371-13-3
ISBN (Online)
978-1-915371-14-0
Published Date
20 February 2023
Series
Theoretical and Natural Science
ISSN (Print)
2753-8818
ISSN (Online)
2753-8826
DOI
10.54254/2753-8818/2/20220148
Copyright
© 2023 The Author(s)
Open Access
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited

Copyright © 2023 EWA Publishing. Unless Otherwise Stated